SportsLine's model analyzes Red Bull's Max Verstappen, McLaren's Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri and the rest of the starting grid's chances at the 2025 F1 Canadian GP

McLaren driver Oscar Piastri of Australia crosses the finish line to win the Spanish Grand Prix Formula One race at the Barcelona Catalunya racetrack in Montmelo, near Barcelona, Spain, Sunday, June 1, 2025. (Albert Gea/Pool Photo via AP) AP

Verstappen was penalized for causing a collision with Russell in that incident, and is just one penalty point shy of a one-race suspension. The Red Bull driver needs to navigate both the Canadian Grand Prix and the Austrian Grand Prix later this month without incident to avoid a suspension.

Follow the live updates and highlights from the qualifying race of the Canadian Grand Prix Formula One 2025 race here