Earth, asteroid

Why the chance that an asteroid might hit Earth in 2032 keeps changing
An asteroid has a slight chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Here's why the odds are a moving target, according to the astronomer who invented the scale used to measure such risks.
Odds of asteroid YR4 2024 hitting Earth in 2032 go up, then down again, in latest NASA analysis
YR4 has a very small chance of striking Earth when its orbit briefly intersects our planet's in December 2032.
The chances of an asteroid hitting Earth in 2032 have changed. But what’s the risk, really?
On Tuesday, astronomers reported that 2024 YR4’s probability of colliding with Earth increased to approximately 3%, which is unusual for a small asteroid that is only 130 to 300 feet wide. By Wednesday, that impact assessment dropped to 1.5%.
An asteroid’s chances of hitting Earth keep shifting. Here’s why that is happening
The chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth in 2032 hit a record high. Experts expect the risk percentage to fluctuate before likely dropping to zero. Here’s why.
Could an asteroid really hit Earth? Odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 reach highest levels ever
The risk that an increasingly ominous asteroid dubbed 2024 YR4 will crash into Earth in seven years now exceeds the the threat once posed by Apophis.
Chances of 'City Killer' Asteroid Hitting Earth in 2032 Reach New High
The chances that an asteroid hits Earth in 2032 are now at their highest since the object was first discovered, according to NASA.
NASA Makes Big Update to Asteroid Potentially on Collision Course With Earth in 2032
The potentially hazardous asteroid 2024 YR4 caused consternation over the last few weeks as its odds of hitting Earth in 2032 dramatically rose. Now, those odds have plummeted to near-zero, as astronomers’ calculations of the asteroid’s path have been updated to indicate that Earth is almost certainly not in the space rock’s plans.
Chance of Asteroid Strike in 2032 Drops Sharply After Record-Setting Rise. Here’s Why It Keeps Changing
NASA announced that asteroid 2024 YR4 now has a 0.28 percent chance of hitting Earth in 2032, but that number is expected to continue shifting with further observations
Asteroid hurtling toward Earth? Odds for impact increase once again
The odds that a potentially destructive asteroid will collide with Earth in 2032 have increased once again, NASA says, but ...
New Scientist1d
Asteroid 2024 YR4 will now almost certainly miss Earth in 2032
New observations have dramatically reduced the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth in 2032, lowering the risk to ...
Scientific American1d
‘City Killer’ Asteroid’s Earth Impact Risk Rises and Falls Again
The asteroid 2024 YR4 probably won’t come nearly as close to Earth anytime soon as the space rock in this artist’s ...
decrypt1h
Asteroid's Earth Impact Odds Plummet, Scientists Now Playing the Long Wait Game
Latest observations slash collision probability for asteroid 2024 YR4 from 2.8% to 0.16%, but no further updates are possible until 2028.
Study models asteroid collision’s potentially devastating impact
A Bennu-type asteroid could lead to “severe environmental consequences,” researchers write, while acknowledging that a ...
MIT professor tracking asteroid 2024 YR4, says probability of collision will "bounce around"
Dr. Richard Binzel is a leading astronomer and professor at MIT. Binzel and his team have been tracking asteroid 2024 YR4 for ...