Wiegert and his team calculated that 2024 YR4 could create a kilometre-wide crater on the moon – the largest lunar impact for at least the past 5000 years, though relatively small compared with ...

The latest probability of impact for asteroid 2024 YR4, as of June 3, 2025, at 4.3 per cent of striking the Moon on December 22, 2032. Along the top of the image is NASA's sequence of plots ...

If the asteroid does strike the Moon, it is likely to do so in the southern hemisphere. Analysing the 410 potential impact scenarios reveals that there is a significant probability of a 2024 YR4 ...

The study simulates 10,000 clones of the asteroid taking different trajectories and in 410 of them, the space rock strikes the Moon. If the asteroid does strike the Moon, it is likely to do so in ...

That's more than double the initial chance of lunar impact. The latest probability of impact for asteroid 2024 YR4, as of June 3, 2025, at 4.3 per cent of striking the Moon on December 22, 2032.

YR4 made headlines earlier this year when its probability of impacting Earth in 2032 rose as high as 3%. While an Earth ...

“The probability that asteroid 2024 YR4 will strike the Moon on 22 December 2032 is now approximately 4 percent, and this ...

YR4 won’t hit Earth, but a 4% chance remains for a lunar impact. ESA's upcoming NEOMIR telescope could revolutionize early ...

A ‘city-killer’ asteroid that, until a few months ago, was believed to be a threat to Earth is increasingly looking like it could crash into the Moon in 2032. Asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered ...

There is currently a 4.3% chance that the giant space rock 2024 YR4 will hit the moon in seven years. If this does happen, ...

The James Webb Space Telescope has taken another look at the potential "city-killer" asteroid 2024 YR4 and found its chances ...