It was a meteoric rise. The odds that “city-killer” asteroid 2024 YR4 will strike our planet just increased again, hitting a “historic” threshold. NASA recently raised the probability of deep impact to 1 in 32,

A large asteroid dubbed 2024 YR4 now has a 2.2% chance of hitting the Earth on Dec. 22, 2032, according to NASA and the European Space Agency. That estimate, made Friday, works out to approximately a one-in-45 chance of direct impact, which also means a 44-in-45 chance of a miss.

The chances of an asteroid as large as the width of an NFL field striking Earth continue to tick up, according to NASA.